Computer model for tsunami vulnerability using sentinel 2A and SRTM images optimized by machine learning

Sri Yulianto Joko Prasetyo, Bistok Hasiholan Simanjuntak, Kristoko Dwi Hartomo, Wiwin Sulistyo

Abstract


This study aims to develop a software framework for modeling of tsunami vulnerability using DEM and Sentinel 2 images. The stages of study, are: 1) extraction Sentinel 2 images using algorithms NDVI, NDBI, NDWI, MSAVI, and MNDWI; 2) prediction vegetation indices using machine learning algorithms. 3) accuracy testing using the MSE, ME, RMSE, MAE, MPE, and MAPE; 4) spatial prediction using Kriging function and 5) modeling tsunami vulnerability indicators. The results show that in 2021 the area was dominated by vegetation density between (-0.1-0.3) with moderate to high vulnerability and risk of land use tsunami as a result of the decreasing of vegetation. The prediction results for 2021 show a low canopy density of vegetation and a high degree of land surface slope. Based on the prediction results in 2021, the study area mostly shows the existence of built-up lands with a high tsunami vulnerability risk (more than 0.1). Vegetation population had decreased to 67% from the original areas in 2017 with an area of 135 km2. Forest vegetation had decreased by 45% from 116 km2 in 2017. Land use for fisheries had increased to the area of 86 km2 from 2017 with an area of 24 km2.

Keywords


Kriging; Machine learning; Remote sensing; Tsunami; Vegetation indices

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.11591/eei.v10i5.3100

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