A new deep learning approach for predicting high-frequency short-term cryptocurrency price

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies are known for their volatility and instability, making them an attractive but risky investment for traders, analysts, and researchers. As the allure of Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies continues to grow, so does the interest in predicting their prices. To forecast the market rate and sustainability of cryptocurrencies, this study uses machine learning-based time series analysis. The study employs forecast periods ranging from 1 to 10-minutes to categorize the consistency of the market. High-frequency pricing of cryptocurrencies is anticipated with a timestep of up to 10 seconds using various deep learning (DL) models. A hybrid model combining long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) is created and compared with standard LSTM and GRU models. Mean squared error (MSE) is the benchmark for estimating the models' performance. The study achieves better results than benchmark models, with MSE values for BTC, Cardano (ADA), and Cosmos (ATOM) in a 5-minute window size being 0.000192, 0.000414, and 0.000451, respectively, and for a 10-minute window size being 0.000212, 0.000197, and 0.000746. Compared to existing models, the suggested model offers a high price predicting accuracy. This study on crypto price prediction using machine learning applications is a preliminary investigation into the topic.