Prediction of stock market price for investors using machine learning approach

Omobayo Ayokunle Esan, Dorcas Oladayo Esan, Femi Abiodun Elegbeleye

Abstract


Stock market price prediction is a challenging task that plays a crucial role in investment decision-making and financial risk management. Traditional approaches often rely on a single machine learning (ML) algorithm for predictive modeling. In this contribution, an innovative framework that integrates logistic regression (LR) with support vector machine (SVM) to improve the accuracy and reliability of stock market price prediction. Combining the strengths of both algorithms, the proposed model harnesses the interpretability of LR and the robustness of SVM to capture complex relationships in stock market data. Experiments conducted on publicly available Yahoo Finance stock dataset and the Dhaka dataset, the results show that the proposed model yielded accuracies of 97.15% and 98.86% respectively. In comparison with other models, the proposed method outperformed the other models in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE), and accuracy. The contribution and importance of leveraging hybrid modelling techniques to enhance stock market price prediction and facilitate informed investment decision-making.

Keywords


Financial risk management; Investors; Machine learning; Prediction; Stock price

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.11591/eei.v14i4.8971

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Bulletin of EEI Stats

Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics (BEEI)
ISSN: 2089-3191e-ISSN: 2302-9285
This journal is published by the Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science (IAES) in collaboration with Intelektual Pustaka Media Utama (IPMU).